Estimate a beetle population you cannot count

Lincoln index: N = (M × C) ÷ R · M = marked in the first catch, C = the whole second catch, R = marked animals in the second catch

Sample sizes

Assumptions

The second catch
No second catch yet

Filled = carries a mark (counted in R). Once true N is revealed, a dashed outline shows a beetle that was marked but lost its mark.

Calculation
M (marked)—
C (second catch)—
R (marked in C)—
N = (M × C) ÷ R—
Repeats at these settings
Estimates0
Mean estimate—
Range—
True Nhidden
Every estimate so far
No estimates yet

Bigger dots are estimates from bigger samples (larger M × C).

Step 1: catch, mark and release a first sample.